Why the Crowd Is Smarter Than the Expert (And How to Tap Into This Power)

A diverse group of novices often makes better decisions than an expert. Find how, why, and what you can do to leverage it.

Jason L Zimmerman

12/2/20242 min read

Picture two conference rooms tackling a complex problem. One filled with experts, the other with a mix of experts, novices, and newcomers. Which group would make better predictions? Research suggests the diverse group often outperforms the experts—a phenomenon known as collective intelligence that's transforming how organizations solve problems and make decisions.

The Science Behind Collective Wisdom

The power of collective intelligence doesn't come from crowd size—it emerges from diversity, independence, and the ability to combine individual insights into something greater. James Surowiecki, in his groundbreaking work "Wisdom of Crowds," identified four essential conditions that unlock this potential:

1. Diversity of Opinion

Different perspectives help avoid blind spots and narrow thinking. Like a puzzle, each unique viewpoint adds a crucial piece to the complete picture.

2. Independent Judgment

Participants must think for themselves rather than following the crowd. This independence prevents groupthink and allows genuine insights to emerge.

3. Decentralized Knowledge

People should draw from their unique experiences and local expertise instead of deferring to central authority.

4. Effective Aggregation

The group needs clear methods to combine individual insights into collective decisions, whether through voting, averaging, or other systematic approaches.

Putting Collective Intelligence to Work

Here's how to harness this power in your organization:

Build Diverse Teams

Look beyond demographic diversity to include different thinking styles, experiences, and expertise levels. The broader the perspective range, the stronger your problem-solving capability.

Foster Independent Thinking

Create environments where people feel safe expressing divergent views. Use anonymous feedback tools and structured brainstorming to ensure every voice counts.

Distribute Decision Authority

Trust teams to make calls in their areas of expertise. A local market team often understands their customers better than headquarters ever could.

Choose Smart Aggregation Tools

Implement clear systems to combine individual contributions into actionable decisions. This might include digital platforms, voting mechanisms, or sophisticated analytics tools.

Avoiding Common Pitfalls

While collective intelligence is powerful, three main traps can undermine its effectiveness:

  1. Herd Mentality: When group members overly influence each other, leading to narrow thinking

  2. Homogeneous Groups: Teams lacking diversity rarely produce breakthrough insights

  3. Poor Synthesis: Without effective ways to combine inputs, collective wisdom remains untapped

Unleashing Your Organization's Collective Power

The tools to implement collective intelligence—from collaboration platforms to advanced analytics—are more accessible than ever. Here's how to start:

  • Expand Your Circle: Include upstream and downstream partners in key decisions to uncover blind spots

  • Leverage Technology: Use digital tools to gather and synthesize insights from across your organization

  • Balance Independence and Collaboration: Create structures that encourage both individual thinking and effective teamwork

  • Celebrate Collective Wins: Share stories of teams successfully using collective intelligence to solve complex challenges

The Path Forward

In today's complex business environment, organizations that effectively harness collective intelligence gain a decisive edge. Whether you're designing products, forecasting trends, or solving operational challenges, tapping into your organization's collective wisdom leads to smarter decisions and better outcomes.

The key isn't just having smart individuals—it's creating the conditions where collective intelligence can flourish. By embracing diversity, fostering independence, and implementing effective aggregation methods, you can unlock the untapped potential within your organization.

Start small, but think big. Your organization's collective wisdom is waiting to be unleashed.

References:

  1. Surowiecki, J. (2004). The wisdom of crowds: Why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations. Doubleday.